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1.
BMJ Open ; 14(2): e079309, 2024 Feb 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38355195

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Human albumin is used in the treatment of complications of cirrhosis. However, the use of long-term human albumin administration is costly and resource demanding for both patients and healthcare systems. A precision medicine approach with biomarkers to predict human albumin treatment response, so-called predictive biomarkers, could make this a viable treatment option in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: ALB-TRIAL is a multinational, double-blind, placebo-controlled randomised controlled trial. We aim to validate a predictive biomarker, consisting of a panel of circulating metabolites, to predict the treatment response to human albumin in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. All enrolled patients are stratified into a high-expected or low-expected effect stratum of human albumin based on the biomarker outcome. After stratification, patients in each group are randomised into either active treatment (20% human albumin) or corresponding placebo (0.9% NaCl) every 10th day for 6 months. The primary outcome is the cumulative number of liver-related events (composite of decompensation episodes, transjugular intrahepatic shunt insertion, liver transplantation and death). Key secondary outcomes include time-to-event analysis of primary outcome components, an analysis of the total healthcare burden and a health economic analysis. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The trial obtained ethical and regulatory approval in Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Hungary and Spain through the Clinical Trials Information System (CTIS) from 13 February 2023, while UK approvals from the Health Regulatory Authority, Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency and Research Ethics Committee are pending. Findings will be published in peer-reviewed journals, presented at conferences, communicated to relevant stakeholders and in the public registry of CTIS, following trial completion. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05056220 EU CT: 2022-501006-34-01.


Assuntos
Transplante de Fígado , Albumina Sérica Humana , Humanos , Albumina Sérica Humana/uso terapêutico , Ascite/terapia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Resultado do Tratamento , Biomarcadores , Método Duplo-Cego
2.
Clin Chim Acta ; 553: 117747, 2024 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38154766

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A major challenge of the HEp-2 cell-based indirect immunofluorescence (IIF) assays is the correct identification of the individual anti-nuclear antibodies (ANAs) if more than one is present in a sample. We created artificial mixes by pooling two different samples with a single autoantibody in different titers. Comparison of the expected and observed patterns and titers clarifies the interference between the two tested ANAs. METHODS: Serum samples with a single homogeneous or speckled ANA pattern were serially diluted and mixed in 16 combinations, providing end-point titers of 1:5,120 to 1:80 for both patterns. These mixes were tested by a HEp-2 IIF assay and were evaluated by conventional evaluation, the EUROPattern (EPa) system and on-screen analysis. RESULTS: Homogeneous pattern can alter the identification of the speckled pattern much more than vice versa, but both has an interfering effect on the other. The effect of the interfering on the tested pattern was higher if the titer of the former one was higher. The pattern recognition efficacy of conventional and the on-screen evaluation was similar and superior compared to the EPa analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The application of artificial mixed samples can help the evaluation of the efficacy of manual and computer-aided ANA HEp-2 pattern recognition.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antinucleares , Doenças Autoimunes , Humanos , Autoanticorpos , Técnica Indireta de Fluorescência para Anticorpo , Computadores
3.
World J Gastroenterol ; 29(42): 5728-5750, 2023 Nov 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38075846

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Defective neutrophil regulation in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is thought to play an important role in the onset or manifestation of IBD, as it could lead to damage of the intestinal mucosal barrier by the infiltration of neutrophils in the inflamed mucosa and the accumulation of pathogens. Like neutrophils in the context of innate immune responses, immunoglobulin A (IgA) as an acquired immune response partakes in the defense of the intestinal epithelium. Under normal conditions, IgA contributes to the elimination of microbes, but in connection with the loss of tolerance to chitinase 3-like 1 (CHI3L1) in IBD, IgA could participate in CHI3L1-mediated improved adhesion and invasion of potentially pathogenic microorganisms. The tolerance brake to CHI3L1 and the occurrence of IgA autoantibodies to this particular target, the exact role and underlying mechanisms of CHI3L1 in the pathogenesis of IBD are still unclear. AIM: To determine the predictive potential of Ig subtypes of a novel serological marker, anti-CHI3L1 autoantibodies (aCHI3L1) in determining the disease phenotype, therapeutic strategy and long-term disease course in a prospective referral cohort of adult IBD patients. METHODS: Sera of 257 Crohn's disease (CD) and 180 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients from a tertiary IBD referral center of Hungary (Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Debrecen) were assayed for IgG, IgA, and secretory IgA (sIgA) type aCHI3L1 by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay using recombinant CHI3L1, along with 86 healthy controls (HCONT). RESULTS: The IgA type was more prevalent in CD than in UC (29.2% vs 11.1%) or HCONT (2.83%; P < 0.0001 for both). However, sIgA subtype aCHI3L1 positivity was higher in both CD and UC patients than in HCONT (39.3% and 32.8% vs 4.65%, respectively; P < 0.0001). The presence of both IgA and sIgA aCHI3L1 antibodies was associated with colonic involvement (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.038, respectively) in patients with CD. Complicated disease behavior at sample procurement was associated with aCHI3L1 sIgA positivity (57.1% vs 36.0%, P = 0.009). IgA type aCH3L1 was more prevalent in patients with frequent relapse during the disease course in the CD group (46.9% vs 25.7%, P = 0.005). In a group of patients with concomitant presence of pure inflammatory luminal disease and colon involvement at the time of diagnosis, positivity for IgA or sIgA type aCH3L1 predicted faster progression towards a complicated disease course in time-dependent models. This association disappeared after merging subgroups of different disease locations. CONCLUSION: CHI3L1 is a novel neutrophil autoantigenic target in IBD. The consideration of antibody classes along with location-based prediction may transform the future of serology in IBD.


Assuntos
Colite Ulcerativa , Doença de Crohn , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais , Adulto , Humanos , Autoanticorpos , Estudos Prospectivos , Colite Ulcerativa/diagnóstico , Imunoglobulina A , Imunoglobulina A Secretora , Biomarcadores
4.
Diagnostics (Basel) ; 13(18)2023 Sep 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37761321

RESUMO

Liver cirrhosis patients are highly susceptible to infections, affecting survival, but current parameters for detecting infection are not reliable enough in this population. We investigated the ability of white blood cell (WBC), ∆WBC, neutrophil and ∆neutrophil counts, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR) and ∆NLR ratios and C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels to identify infection and predict short-term mortality in liver cirrhosis patients. We recruited 233 patients with liver cirrhosis hospitalized with acute decompensation (AD) who had an outpatient visit within 1 month (baseline laboratory data) and followed them for 90 days. Difference between laboratory values at baseline and the AD episode was defined as delta (∆) values of the parameters. Delta values did not increase the diagnostic and predictive ability of investigated parameters. The CRP level was found to be the best diagnostic marker for infection in patients with cirrhosis. However, NLR seems to be superior for short-term mortality prediction, better than the WBC count. Distinguishing inflammations of different origin is a remaining clinical challenge in acutely decompensated cirrhosis. Based on our results, NLR might be more suitable for predicting short-term mortality in patients with AD than the WBC count currently included in the CLIF-C AD score.

5.
United European Gastroenterol J ; 11(8): 767-774, 2023 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37464535

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is a noteworthy overlap between the clinical picture of biliary acute pancreatitis (AP) and the 2018 Tokyo guidelines currently used for the diagnosis of cholangitis (AC) and cholecystitis (CC). This can lead to significant antibiotic and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) overuse. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the on-admission prevalence of AC/CC according to the 2018 Tokyo guidelines (TG18) in a cohort of biliary AP patients, and its association with antibiotic use, ERCP and clinically relevant endpoints. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group's prospective multicenter registry of 2195 AP cases. We grouped and compared biliary cases (n = 944) based on the on-admission fulfillment of definite AC/CC according to TG18. Aside from antibiotic use, we evaluated mortality, AC/CC/AP severity, ERCP performance and length of hospitalization. We also conducted a literature review discussing each criteria of the TG18 in the context of AP. RESULTS: 27.8% of biliary AP cases fulfilled TG18 for both AC and CC, 22.5% for CC only and 20.8% for AC only. Antibiotic use was high (77.4%). About 2/3 of the AC/CC cases were mild, around 10% severe. Mortality was below 1% in mild and moderate AC/CC patients, but considerably higher in severe cases (12.8% and 21.2% in AC and CC). ERCP was performed in 89.3% of AC cases, common bile duct stones were found in 41.1%. CONCLUSION: Around 70% of biliary AP patients fulfilled the TG18 for AC/CC, associated with a high rate of antibiotic use. Mortality in presumed mild or moderate AC/CC is low. Each of the laboratory and clinical criteria are commonly fulfilled in biliary AP, single imaging findings are also unspecific-AP specific diagnostic criteria are needed, as the prevalence of AC/CC are likely greatly overestimated. Randomized trials testing antibiotic use are also warranted.


Assuntos
Pancreatite , Humanos , Doença Aguda , Antibacterianos/efeitos adversos , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Pancreatite/etiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Tóquio/epidemiologia , Guias como Assunto
6.
Autoimmun Rev ; 22(7): 103356, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37150488

RESUMO

Diagnosis of autoimmune diseases is in most cases challenging for clinicians as there is not a single specific laboratory or histological marker to diagnose or exclude the presence of the conditions. This review focused on the current knowledge of the role of autoantibodies' testing in various diseases, such as systemic lupus erythematosus, rheumatoid arthritis, antiphospholipid syndrome, undifferentiated connective tissues disease, primary biliary cholangitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis. Similarly, the prognostic and diagnostic values of autoantibodies testing in patients with interstitial lung disease have been reviewed. In-depth research on the molecular action of these autoantibodies on immune regulation and diseases pathogenesis has been explored beyond their correlation with disease phenotypes, highlighting the impact of autoantibodies targeting on disease outcomes and etiopathogenesis.


Assuntos
Artrite Reumatoide , Doenças Autoimunes , Humanos , Autoanticorpos , Autoimunidade , Prognóstico , Doenças Autoimunes/diagnóstico
7.
Gastroenterology ; 165(3): 682-695, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37247642

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The in-hospital survival of patients suffering from acute pancreatitis (AP) is 95% to 98%. However, there is growing evidence that patients discharged after AP may be at risk of serious morbidity and mortality. Here, we aimed to investigate the risk, causes, and predictors of the most severe consequence of the post-AP period: mortality. METHODS: A total of 2613 well-characterized patients from 25 centers were included and followed by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group between 2012 and 2021. A general and a hospital-based population was used as the control group. RESULTS: After an AP episode, patients have an approximately threefold higher incidence rate of mortality than the general population (0.0404 vs 0.0130 person-years). First-year mortality after discharge was almost double than in-hospital mortality (5.5% vs 3.5%), with 3.0% occurring in the first 90-day period. Age, comorbidities, and severity were the most significant independent risk factors for death following AP. Furthermore, multivariate analysis identified creatinine, glucose, and pleural fluid on admission as independent risk factors associated with post-discharge mortality. In the first 90-day period, cardiac failure and AP-related sepsis were among the main causes of death following discharge, and cancer-related cachexia and non-AP-related infection were the key causes in the later phase. CONCLUSION: Almost as many patients in our cohort died in the first 90-day period after discharge as during their hospital stay. Evaluation of cardiovascular status, follow-up of local complications, and cachexia-preventing oncological care should be an essential part of post-AP patient care. Future study protocols in AP must include at least a 90-day follow-up period after discharge.


Assuntos
Pancreatite , Humanos , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Alta do Paciente , Doença Aguda , Assistência ao Convalescente , Caquexia , Estudos Retrospectivos
8.
United European Gastroenterol J ; 11(4): 371-382, 2023 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37062947

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a proven risk factor for acute pancreatitis (AP). However, NAFLD has recently been redefined as metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). In this post hoc analysis, we quantified the effect of MAFLD on the outcomes of AP. METHODS: We identified our patients from the multicentric, prospective International Acute Pancreatitis Registry of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Next, we compared AP patients with and without MAFLD and the individual components of MAFLD regarding in-hospital mortality and AP severity based on the revised Atlanta classification. Lastly, we calculated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using multivariate logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: MAFLD had a high prevalence in AP, 39% (801/2053). MAFLD increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.43, CI: 1.09-1.89). However, the odds of in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.89, CI: 0.42-1.89) and severe AP (OR = 1.70, CI: 0.97-3.01) were not higher in the MAFLD group. Out of the three diagnostic criteria of MAFLD, the highest odds of severe AP was in the group based on metabolic risk abnormalities (OR = 2.68, CI: 1.39-5.09). In addition, the presence of one, two, and three diagnostic criteria dose-dependently increased the odds of moderate-to-severe AP (OR = 1.23, CI: 0.88-1.70, OR = 1.38, CI: 0.93-2.04, and OR = 3.04, CI: 1.63-5.70, respectively) and severe AP (OR = 1.13, CI: 0.54-2.27, OR = 2.08, CI: 0.97-4.35, and OR = 4.76, CI: 1.50-15.4, respectively). Furthermore, in patients with alcohol abuse and aged ≥60 years, the effect of MAFLD became insignificant. CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD is associated with AP severity, which varies based on the components of its diagnostic criteria. Furthermore, MAFLD shows a dose-dependent effect on the outcomes of AP.


Assuntos
Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Pancreatite , Humanos , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Pancreatite/etiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/diagnóstico , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros
9.
BMC Psychiatry ; 23(1): 193, 2023 03 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36964518

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Psychosocial support is a crucial component of adequate rare disease care, but to date psychosocial support needs of this patient population are insufficiently met. Within Q.RARE.LI, we strive to evaluate the effectiveness of a structured, transdiagnostic, and location-independent psychosocial support intervention in routine care of patients with rare autoimmune liver diseases in five countries and prepare its implementation. METHODS: Within an effectiveness-implementation hybrid trial, we aim to a) investigate the effectiveness of the intervention in routine care in five diverse healthcare systems and b) assess implementation outcomes, examine and prepare the implementation context, and develop country-specific implementation strategies. To assess effectiveness, we will include N = 240 patients with rare autoimmune liver diseases. Within a two-armed randomized controlled trial (allocation ratio 1:1), we will compare structured and peer-delivered psychosocial support in addition to care-as-usual (CAU) with CAU alone. Outcomes will be assessed via electronic database entry prior to intervention, directly after, and at a three-month follow-up. Our primary effectiveness outcome will be mental health-related quality of life at post-assessment. Secondary outcomes include depression and anxiety severity, perceived social support, helplessness, and disease acceptance. Implementation outcomes will be assessed within a mixed-methods process evaluation. In a quantitative cross-sectional survey, we will examine perceived acceptability and feasibility in patients, peer-counselors, and healthcare providers involved in delivery of the intervention. In qualitative focus groups, we will analyze the implementation context and determine barriers and facilitators for implementation with different stakeholders (patients and/or representatives, peer-counselors, healthcare providers, health insurers). Based on these results, we will derive country-specific implementation strategies and develop a concrete implementation plan for each country. DISCUSSION: The intervention is expected to help patients adjust to their disease and improve their mental quality of life. The transdiagnostic and location-independent program has the potential to reach patients for psychosocial support who are usually hard to reach. By preparing the implementation in five countries, the project can help to make low-threshold psychosocial support available to many patients with rare diseases and improve comprehensive healthcare for an often neglected group. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN15030282.


Assuntos
Aconselhamento , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Atenção à Saúde , Ansiedade , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
10.
Gut ; 72(8): 1581-1591, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36788015

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Current prognostic scores of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD), particularly those with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), underestimate the risk of mortality. This is probably because systemic inflammation (SI), the major driver of AD/ACLF, is not reflected in the scores. SI induces metabolic changes, which impair delivery of the necessary energy for the immune reaction. This investigation aimed to identify metabolites associated with short-term (28-day) death and to design metabolomic prognostic models. METHODS: Two prospective multicentre large cohorts from Europe for investigating ACLF and development of ACLF, CANONIC (discovery, n=831) and PREDICT (validation, n=851), were explored by untargeted serum metabolomics to identify and validate metabolites which could allow improved prognostic modelling. RESULTS: Three prognostic metabolites strongly associated with death were selected to build the models. 4-Hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate is a norepinephrine derivative, which may be derived from the brainstem response to SI. Additionally, galacturonic acid and hexanoylcarnitine are associated with mitochondrial dysfunction. Model 1 included only these three prognostic metabolites and age. Model 2 was built around 4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate, hexanoylcarnitine, bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR) and age. In the discovery cohort, both models were more accurate in predicting death within 7, 14 and 28 days after admission compared with MELDNa score (C-index: 0.9267, 0.9002 and 0.8424, and 0.9369, 0.9206 and 0.8529, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Similar results were found in the validation cohort (C-index: 0.940, 0.834 and 0.791, and 0.947, 0.857 and 0.810, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Also, in ACLF, model 1 and model 2 outperformed MELDNa 7, 14 and 28 days after admission for prediction of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Models including metabolites (CLIF-C MET) reflecting SI, mitochondrial dysfunction and sympathetic system activation are better predictors of short-term mortality than scores based only on organ dysfunction (eg, MELDNa), especially in patients with ACLF.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Hepática Crônica Agudizada , Metoxi-Hidroxifenilglicol , Humanos , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Inflamação/complicações , Metabolômica , Mitocôndrias
11.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 9: 801592, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36172540

RESUMO

Background: In pediatric acute pancreatitis (AP), a family history of pancreatic diseases is prognostic for earlier onset of recurrent AP (ARP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP). No evidence supports the same association in adult-onset pancreatitis. Age-specific reasons for familial aggregation are also unclear. We aimed to examine the prognostic role of pancreatic family history for ARP/CP and observe possible underlying mechanisms. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group's (HPSG) multicenter, international, prospective registry of patients with AP, both children and adults. We compared the positive family history and the negative family history of pancreatic diseases, in different age groups, and analyzed trends of accompanying factors. Chi-square and Fisher exact tests were used. Results: We found a higher rate of ARP/CP in the positive pancreatic family history group (33.7 vs. 25.9%, p = 0.018), peaking at 6-17 years. Idiopathic AP peaked in childhood in the positive family history group (75% 0-5 years) and was consistently 20-35% in the negative group. A higher rate of alcohol consumption/smoking was found in the positive groups at 12-17 years (62.5 vs. 15.8%, p = 0.013) and 18-29 years (90.9 vs. 58.1%, p = 0.049). The prevalence of diabetes and hyperlipidemia steadily rose with age in both groups. Conclusion: Positive family history most likely signifies genetic background in early childhood. During adolescence and early adulthood, alcohol consumption and smoking emerge-clinicians should be aware and turn to intervention in such cases. Contrary to current viewpoints, positive pancreatic family history is not a prognostic factor for ARP and CP in adults, so it should not be regarded that way.

12.
World J Gastroenterol ; 28(21): 2291-2301, 2022 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35800183

RESUMO

Clinical manifestations and progression of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are heterogeneous, and its pathogenesis is poorly understood. The importance of gut-liver interactions in the pathogenesis has been clinically confirmed and highlighted in different theories. Recent advances regarding biomarkers of biliary-gut crosstalk may help to identify clinically relevant PSC subgroups assisting everyday clinical work-up (e.g., diagnosis, disease stratification, or surveillance) and the exploration of potential therapeutic targets. Alkaline phosphatase produced by the biliary epithelium is consistently associated with prognosis. However, its level shows natural fluctuation limiting its use in individual patients. Inflammatory, cell activation, and tissue remodeling markers have been reported to predict clinical outcome. Elevated immunoglobulin (Ig) G4 level is associated with a shorter transplantation-free survival. IgG type atypical perinuclear anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (P-ANCAs) are non-specific markers of various autoimmune liver diseases and may reflect an abnormal B-cell response to gut microbial antigens. IgG type atypical P-ANCA identifies PSC patients with particular clinical and genetic (for human leukocyte antigens) characteristics. The presence of IgA type anti-F-actin antibody (AAA) may predict a progressive disease course, and it is associated with enhanced mucosal immune response to various microbial antigens and enterocyte damage. IgA type anti-glycoprotein 2 (GP2) antibodies identify patients with a severe disease phenotype and poor survival due to enhanced fibrogenesis or development of cholangiocarcinoma. Elevated soluble vascular adhesion protein-1 (sVAP-1) level is associated with adverse disease outcomes in PSC. High sVAP-1 levels correlate with mucosal addressin cell adhesion molecule-1 (MAdCAM-1) expression in the liver that contributes to gut activated T-cell homing to the hepatobiliary tract. In the present paper, we review the evidence on these possible serological markers that could potentially help address the unmet clinical needs in PSC.


Assuntos
Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares , Colangite Esclerosante , Autoanticorpos , Ductos Biliares Intra-Hepáticos/metabolismo , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Colangite Esclerosante/diagnóstico , Colangite Esclerosante/terapia , Humanos , Imunoglobulina A , Imunoglobulina G
13.
Clin Transl Med ; 12(6): e842, 2022 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35653504

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a potentially severe or even fatal inflammation of the pancreas. Early identification of patients at high risk for developing a severe course of the disease is crucial for preventing organ failure and death. Most of the former predictive scores require many parameters or at least 24 h to predict the severity; therefore, the early therapeutic window is often missed. METHODS: The early achievable severity index (EASY) is a multicentre, multinational, prospective and observational study (ISRCTN10525246). The predictions were made using machine learning models. We used the scikit-learn, xgboost and catboost Python packages for modelling. We evaluated our models using fourfold cross-validation, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), and accuracy metrics were calculated on the union of the test sets of the cross-validation. The most critical factors and their contribution to the prediction were identified using a modern tool of explainable artificial intelligence called SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). RESULTS: The prediction model was based on an international cohort of 1184 patients and a validation cohort of 3543 patients. The best performing model was an XGBoost classifier with an average AUC score of 0.81 ± 0.033 and an accuracy of 89.1%, and the model improved with experience. The six most influential features were the respiratory rate, body temperature, abdominal muscular reflex, gender, age and glucose level. Using the XGBoost machine learning algorithm for prediction, the SHAP values for the explanation and the bootstrapping method to estimate confidence, we developed a free and easy-to-use web application in the Streamlit Python-based framework (http://easy-app.org/). CONCLUSIONS: The EASY prediction score is a practical tool for identifying patients at high risk for severe AP within hours of hospital admission. The web application is available for clinicians and contributes to the improvement of the model.


Assuntos
Inteligência Artificial , Pancreatite , Doença Aguda , Humanos , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Retrospectivos
14.
Nutrients ; 14(10)2022 May 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35631272

RESUMO

Although excessive alcohol consumption is by far the most frequent cause of recurrent acute pancreatitis (AP) cases, specific therapy is still not well established to prevent recurrence. Generally, psychological therapy (e.g., brief intervention (BI)) is the cornerstone of cessation programs; however, it is not yet widely used in everyday practice. We conducted a post-hoc analysis of a prospectively collected database. Patients suffering from alcohol-induced AP between 2016 and 2021 received 30 min BI by a physician. Patient-reported alcohol consumption, serum gamma-glutamyl-transferase (GGT) level, and mean corpuscular volume (MCV) of red blood cells were collected on admission and at the 1-month follow-up visit to monitor patients' drinking habits. Ninety-nine patients with alcohol-induced AP were enrolled in the study (mean age: 50 ± 11, 89% male). A significant decrease was detected both in mean GGT value (294 ± 251 U/L vs. 103 ± 113 U/L, p < 0.001) and in MCV level (93.7 ± 5.3 U/L vs. 92.1 ± 5.1 U/L, p < 0.001) in patients with elevated on-admission GGT levels. Notably, 79% of the patients (78/99) reported alcohol abstinence at the 1-month control visit. Brief intervention is an effective tool to reduce alcohol consumption and to prevent recurrent AP. Longitudinal randomized clinical studies are needed to identify the adequate structure and frequency of BIs in alcohol-induced AP.


Assuntos
Alcoolismo , Pancreatite , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Alcoolismo/complicações , Feminino , Hospitais , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/etiologia , Pancreatite/prevenção & controle , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , gama-Glutamiltransferase
15.
Orv Hetil ; 163(16): 614-623, 2022 Apr 17.
Artigo em Húngaro | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35430570

RESUMO

The prevalence of colonic diverticulosis is growing worldwide due to dietary and lifestyle changes. Colonic diverticulosis does not cause any complaints in a significant proportion of individuals; therefore, it is usually diagnosed by accident and does not require any treatment. Diverticular disease, which constitutes about 25% of the cases, is associated with presenting symptoms, and has various forms based on the course and severity of the disease. From the early 2000s, the better understanding of the pathophysiologic pathways which play a role in the development of the diverticular disease (genetic background, low-grade chronic inflammation and intestinal dysbiosis) promoted prevention, diagnostics and finding treatment options. The main conclusions: It is a challenge to distinguish uncomplicated but symptomatic diverticular disease from irritable bowel syndrome. The prevalence of acute diverticulitis is lower than it was previously assumed. The role of diagnostic imaging, mainly abdominal computer tomography, has become more important to aid the rapid and correct diagnosis of acute diverticulitis and to determine its severity. Although a high-fiber diet may be recommended for general health purposes, there is little evidence that it benefits recovery during acute diverticulitis episodes or prevents recurrent episodes. Traditional antibiotic therapy as the mainstay of treatment of acute uncomplicated diverticulitis such as routine hospital admission has been challenged recently. In an acute episode of diverticulitis, performing colonoscopy should be avoided as it is associated with an increased risk of colonic perforation. If there was no screening colonoscopy within 3 years, it is strongly recommended at least 6 weeks after the acute episode to exclude colorectal carcinoma. Routine colonoscopy may be omitted in certain cases. Complicated acute diverticulitis should not necessarily be treated by emergency surgery. In thecase of hemodynamically stable and immunocompetent patients, resection with primary anastomosis may be preferred over a Hartmann's procedure for the treatment of perforated diverticulitis and diffuse peritonitis. With this review, the authors intend to facilitate providing up-to-date and customized treatment of diverticular disease in the daily practice.


Assuntos
Diverticulite , Diverticulose Cólica , Divertículo , Peritonite , Hospitalização , Humanos
16.
BMJ Open ; 12(1): e050821, 2022 Jan 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34983758

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Acute recurrent pancreatitis (ARP) due to alcohol and/or tobacco abuse is a preventable disease which lowers quality of life and can lead to chronic pancreatitis. The REAPPEAR study aims to investigate whether a combined patient education and cessation programme for smoking and alcohol prevents ARP. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The REAPPEAR study consists of an international multicentre randomised controlled trial (REAPPEAR-T) testing the efficacy of a cessation programme on alcohol and smoking and a prospective cohort study (REAPPEAR-C) assessing the effects of change in alcohol consumption and smoking (irrespective of intervention). Daily smoker patients hospitalised with alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis (AP) will be enrolled. All patients will receive a standard intervention priorly to encourage alcohol and smoking cessation. Participants will be subjected to laboratory testing, measurement of blood pressure and body mass index and will provide blood, hair and urine samples for later biomarker analysis. Addiction, motivation to change, socioeconomic status and quality of life will be evaluated with questionnaires. In the trial, patients will be randomised either to the cessation programme with 3-monthly visits or to the control group with annual visits. Participants of the cessation programme will receive a brief intervention at every visit with direct feedback on their alcohol consumption based on laboratory results. The primary endpoint will be the composite of 2-year all-cause recurrence rate of AP and/or 2-year all-cause mortality. The cost-effectiveness of the cessation programme will be evaluated. An estimated 182 participants will be enrolled per group to the REAPPEAR-T with further enrolment to the cohort. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the Scientific and Research Ethics Committee of the Hungarian Medical Research Council (40394-10/2020/EÜIG), all local ethical approvals are in place. Results will be disseminated at conferences and in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04647097.


Assuntos
Fumar Cigarros , Pancreatite , Doença Aguda , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Pancreatite/etiologia , Pancreatite/prevenção & controle , Estudos Prospectivos , Qualidade de Vida , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
17.
Pancreatology ; 22(1): 51-57, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34750077

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Around 20% of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) will develop acute recurrent pancreatitis (ARP) and 10% will progress to chronic pancreatitis. While interventions to avoid recurrences exist for the two most common causes - abstinence for alcoholic and cholecystectomy for biliary pancreatitis - the are no known preventive measures in idiopathic ARP. Though it is not included in any of the guidelines, a low-fat diet is often recommended. Our aim is to test dietary fat reduction's effect on AP recurrence in a randomized controlled setting, in order to provide high-quality evidence for the validity of such an intervention. METHODS, DESIGN: Participants with at least 2 episodes of AP in the preceding 2 years of which the last episode was idiopathic will be randomized to one of two diets with different fat contents: a 'reduced fat diet' (15% fat, 65% carbohydrate, 20% protein) and a 'standard healthy diet' (30% fat, 50% carbohydrate, 20% protein; based on WHO recommendations). Participants will be followed-up for 2 years (visits will be scheduled for months 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24) during which they will receive a repeated session of nutritional guidance, complete food frequency questionnaires and data on relapse, mortality, BMI, cardiovascular parameters and serum lipid values will be collected. DISCUSSION: This study will determine the effect of modifying the dietary fat content on AP recurrence, mortality, serum lipids and weight loss in idiopathic cases.


Assuntos
Gorduras na Dieta , Pancreatite Crônica , Doença Aguda , Carboidratos , Humanos , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Recidiva
18.
Pancreatology ; 22(1): 67-73, 2022 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34774414

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Mortality in infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is dynamic over the course of the disease, with type and timing of interventions as well as persistent organ failure being key determinants. The timing of infection onset and how it pertains to mortality is not well defined. OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between mortality and the development of early IPN. METHODS: International multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients with IPN, confirmed by a positive microbial culture from (peri) pancreatic collections. The association between timing of infection onset, timing of interventions and mortality were assessed using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 743 patients from 19 centers across 3 continents with culture-confirmed IPN from 2000 to 2016 were evaluated, mortality rate was 20.9% (155/734). Early infection was associated with a higher mortality, when early infection occurred within the first 4 weeks from presentation with acute pancreatitis. After adjusting for comorbidity, advanced age, organ failure, enteral nutrition and parenteral nutrition, early infection (≤4 weeks) and early open surgery (≤4 weeks) were associated with increased mortality [HR: 2.45 (95% CI: 1.63-3.67), p < 0.001 and HR: 4.88 (95% CI: 1.70-13.98), p = 0.003, respectively]. There was no association between late open surgery, early or late minimally invasive surgery, early or late percutaneous drainage with mortality (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Early infection was associated with increased mortality, independent of interventions. Early surgery remains a strong predictor of excess mortality.


Assuntos
Infecções Bacterianas/complicações , Pancreatite Necrosante Aguda/microbiologia , Pancreatite Necrosante Aguda/mortalidade , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Drenagem , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Minimamente Invasivos , Pancreatite Necrosante Aguda/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento
19.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 24158, 2021 12 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34921151

RESUMO

The incidence and medical costs of acute pancreatitis (AP) are on the rise, and severe cases still have a 30% mortality rate. We aimed to evaluate hypoalbuminemia as a risk factor and the prognostic value of human serum albumin in AP. Data from 2461 patients were extracted from the international, prospective, multicentre AP registry operated by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data from patients with albumin measurement in the first 48 h (n = 1149) and anytime during hospitalization (n = 1272) were analysed. Multivariate binary logistic regression and Receiver Operator Characteristic curve analysis were used. The prevalence of hypoalbuminemia (< 35 g/L) was 19% on admission and 35.7% during hospitalization. Hypoalbuminemia dose-dependently increased the risk of severity, mortality, local complications and organ failure and is associated with longer hospital stay. The predictive value of hypoalbuminemia on admission was poor for severity and mortality. Severe hypoalbuminemia (< 25 g/L) represented an independent risk factor for severity (OR 48.761; CI 25.276-98.908) and mortality (OR 16.83; CI 8.32-35.13). Albumin loss during AP was strongly associated with severity (p < 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.002). Hypoalbuminemia represents an independent risk factor for severity and mortality in AP, and it shows a dose-dependent relationship with local complications, organ failure and length of stay.


Assuntos
Hipoalbuminemia , Tempo de Internação , Pancreatite , Gravidade do Paciente , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Hipoalbuminemia/sangue , Hipoalbuminemia/mortalidade , Hipoalbuminemia/terapia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pancreatite/sangue , Pancreatite/mortalidade , Pancreatite/terapia , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos
20.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 8: 671917, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34485326

RESUMO

Background: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a life-threatening disease. We aimed to explore the prognostic relevance of renal function based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Methods: A prospective registry of AP patients was established by the Hungarian Pancreatic Study Group. Data of 1,224 consecutive patients were collected between 2012 and 2017. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to their eGFR measured within 24 h of hospitalization: normal renal function: >90 mL/min, mild to moderate renal functional impairment: 30-90 mL/min and severe renal dysfunction: <30 mL/min. Associations of eGFR with outcome (survival, length of hospitalization, AP severity, blood glucose), inflammatory markers (erythrocyte sedimentation rate, white blood cell count), anemia and organ failure (heart, kidney, liver) were analyzed. Results: Death, longer hospitalization and severe AP, but not the cause of AP, were significantly associated with lower eGFR. The inflammatory markers (CRP, WBC count) but not anemia (Hb, Htk) were closely associated with severe renal dysfunction. Renal function was associated with heart and renal failure but not with other complications of AP such as respiratory failure, local pancreatic complications, diabetes or peptic ulcer. eGFR was not associated with liver damage (ALAT, γ-GT) or liver function (serum bilirubin) although biliary complications, alcohol and metabolic syndrome were the most common etiologies of AP. Conclusions: Our study suggests a useful prognostic value of initial eGFR in AP patients. Even mild eGFR reduction predicted mortality, severity of AP and the length of hospitalization. Thus, precise evaluation of renal function should be considered for assessing AP severity and outcome.

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